To answer the probability question we need to look at all the ways that Tom could be picked first. Here they are: - Tom-Tristan-Luca-Pablo
- Tom-Tristan-Pablo-Luca
- Tom-Pablo-Luca-Tristan
- Tom-Pablo-Tristan-Luca
- Tom-Luca-Pablo-Tristan
- Tom-Luca-Tristan-Pablo
If we fix Tom as the kid picked first, and arrange the other three, we find 6 different ways, which is 3!. 3! = 3 × 2 × 1 = 6 So the probability that Tom is picked first is 6 out of a possible 24 combinations. The probability is: 
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