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Macroeconomics: Unit 4, Government Spending 1 Views


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00:01

no macro economics Allah shmoop government spending governments What are

00:09

the good for absolutely something Well let's take a look

00:13

at government spending and I'll see if they're good for

00:15

anything Governments collect taxes and spend that money on goods

00:19

and services which hell in theory at least benefits the

00:22

public and well they regulate Right Government regulates Stop a

00:26

subject for another video This spending and taxation though the

00:30

governments do directly affects the economy by injecting money into

00:34

it or while sucking money out of the system The

00:39

process of government spent here is complex It carries extremely

00:43

high volume in transactions and size and when economic weather

00:47

turns warm well the economic inputs are multiplied E sped

00:52

up made larger with a broader footprint Right hot economy

00:56

needs lots of spending and well that can get out

00:59

of control The technical name for these financial mosquitoes getting

01:02

horny er when the weather is hot it's called spending

01:06

multiplier When the government wants to promote economic growth it

01:09

can inject money or liquidity in the form of making

01:13

borrowing cheap into the economy in the form of its

01:17

own space And this spending multiplies as it trickles through

01:21

the rest of the economy Like you know government throws

01:24

a whole lot of parties and then employs lots of

01:26

bartenders Then buy a lot of beer in a leather

01:30

alcohol And then the bartenders get rich and then they

01:33

buy Ferraris They're something like another example Well let's say

01:37

the government wants to increase the real GDP by now

01:40

$10,000,000,000 small adjustment in our giant economy But well they

01:44

may want to make that increase Well why would it

01:47

want to target some numbered increase like this Well because

01:51

some bean counter with a phD at a Matthew model

01:54

that shows a more efficient economic and financial equilibrium at

01:57

that increased level of GDP versus well what's currently in

02:02

action Does the government have to spend $10,000,000,000 They hit

02:06

that optimal level or uh well say the government decides

02:09

it's time for roads and bridges and sidewalks to be

02:12

renovated Finally up until now the huge potholes well had

02:18

cost more to fix than they were worked But they

02:20

get bigger and bigger so well now with time we

02:23

gotta fix him So the government buys our contract with

02:26

subcontractors to buy concrete and metal And when Wilson paint

02:32

needle that potholes well it hires planners and designers and

02:35

construction workers to do the job And well guess what

02:38

The total expense to fix all those potholes comes out

02:41

to $1,000,000,000 So that's it The Big G spent $1,000,000,000

02:46

but they wanted 10,000,000,000 Is the optimal GDP growth target

02:50

Well what happened We're a 9,000,000,000 short Yeah well we're

02:54

not done with the story Hang on that $1,000,000,000 doesn't

02:57

just a stagnant Once the government has spent it and

03:00

as paid for the material in the wages of the

03:03

labor as well the construction workers might save some of

03:06

their salary and then spend it on a new car

03:09

or a new house or even just use it to

03:11

buy food and pay rent Then the grocery store employees

03:15

and landlords getting the construction workers money while they saved

03:19

some of their earnings and use the rest to buy

03:21

while other goods and services Right They save it for

03:24

about eight minutes and then spend it well The same

03:26

money continues to circulate around the economy many times over

03:30

so that the total increase in the value of goods

03:33

and services bought is much greater than that initial $1,000,000,000

03:38

Big G injection the size of the multiplier of this

03:41

semi trickle down vision of how the economy works then

03:44

changes in cold economies When people are scared and conservative

03:49

and just like to save their money for the rainy

03:51

days they know that are coming Well then the multiplier

03:54

might only be three or four times well in hot

03:57

economy is when people are optimistic about the future and

04:00

they feel secure in their jobs And they feel comfy

04:03

spending 38 1008 $183 on a new electric Tesla Well

04:08

then that multiplier might be closer than 10 11 12

04:11

times like that $1,000,000,000 becomes you know 33,000,000,000 Something like

04:16

that Well since each time some of the money gets

04:19

saved and the rest gets spent the scaling factor is

04:23

dependent on people's marginal propensity to save or MPs write

04:28

that down and know how to spell it And that

04:29

gets compared to their propensity to consume or mpc marginal

04:34

propensity consume right saving versus consuming while everyone's marginal propensity

04:40

to save might be different Well the government can use

04:43

the average MPs to get a rough estimate of the

04:46

scaling factor which they calculate as one over M ps

04:51

or set another way if the average MPs are marginal

04:54

Propensity save were 10.1 meaning people are saving 10% of

04:58

whatever they're gross income was well the initial injection into

05:01

the economy then get scaled up by one over 10.1

05:05

or by 10 a factor of 10 which means the

05:08

big G only need spend $1,000,000,000 on I'll say infrastructure

05:12

build instead of bartending for parties that $1,000,000,000 then would

05:16

have a factor of 10 behind it and raise the

05:18

GDP by yes $10,000,000,000 And we say on Lee here

05:22

with a smirk However if the MPs are marginal propensity

05:26

to save were 0.5 meaning people are really nervous People

05:30

are saving half their income after taxes Well then the

05:34

scaling factor would only be to write one over 10.5

05:37

is too So the government would need to spend $5,000,000,000

05:41

Teo get $10,000,000,000 in increased GDP All right so where

05:46

does the government get the money to change their spending

05:49

habits Well unless It has a rainy day fund a

05:51

k A surplus from budgeting to spend less than the

05:55

money they received through taxes Well then the government will

05:58

just have to borrow the money from somewhere Well an

06:01

alternative to just borrowing the money The government could decide

06:04

Tio well more or less create inflation It could run

06:08

the printing presses increased the money supply and well then

06:11

the inflation risk there is that it gets out of

06:14

hand And then if we have a hugely inflated currency

06:17

it would totally devalue the U S dollar globally and

06:21

well faith in the government And then that's a bad

06:24

thing So the government is very careful about how often

06:27

it runs the printing presses to just kind of create

06:30

more cash and supply So it's um or less stuck

06:33

with borrowing if it needs a lot of money today

06:36

to kind of prime the GDP well when the government

06:39

borrows money that money comes from the market for low

06:42

nable funds those air things like T bills and T

06:45

notes and other government paper The government can get money

06:48

internationally as well or domestically from banks and lenders by

06:52

issuing bonds just like you have to pay interest when

06:55

you go to the bank for a loan While the

06:56

government pays interest on these bonds however while individuals getting

07:00

a mortgage might be asking for money on the order

07:02

of tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars maybe millions

07:06

The government borrows money on the order of billions or

07:09

tens of billions of dollars And as of 2019 while

07:13

the US national debt stood it around 22 trillion dollars

07:17

Well since the government is such a big player in

07:19

the bond market where the government needs to borrow money

07:22

to fund its spending well it can raise the demand

07:26

for low nable funds and therefore the interest rate Basically

07:30

the biggie needing cash says instead of paying you a

07:34

3.232% interest a year on this paper well up the

07:40

anti and pay you 3.581% interest and then all of

07:46

a sudden insurance companies who must buy lots of government

07:49

paper while they all weighed in and trade their cash

07:53

for pieces of promissory paper from the U S Government

07:57

So when the government can increase the interest rates for

07:59

bonds that they loan out well The demand for bonds

08:02

probably goes up and they sell out Lots of people

08:05

are happy to take a little more interest from the

08:07

government because well they need the safety of Uncle Sam

08:11

being ableto taxes citizens and guarantee that the money will

08:14

be paid to insurance companies and old people Right Well

08:17

when the government raises the demand and the interest rates

08:19

on Lobel funds it triggers the crowding out effect I'II

08:24

where the high interest rates can prevent other people from

08:28

getting the loans they need anyway So yeah if you

08:31

ever see this guy walking through the mall with a

08:33

giant needle don't worry He's just looking to inject some

08:37

money into the economy No he's not a vampire different

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