ADP National Employment Report

  

Categories: Econ, Metrics, Regulations

This is the bomb of economic data. It covers employment levels for non-farm payrolls, and a whole bunch of other core elements that comprise the health, or lack thereof, of the economy.

It's called the ADP National Employment Report in the same way Levi's Football Stadium is called, well...Levi's. ADP is a private, automatic data processing company that works with Moody's to pull this information and send it out to the masses of PhDs in economics to digest every month.

The report comprises four elements. First is the delta in payroll, divided by business size and industry. The second focuses on progress in small business. The third analyzes the health or growth of franchises like McDonalds and Denny's. And the fourth regionalizes national economic ups and downs, focusing on eight states: California, New York, New Jersey, Florida, Illinois, Texas, Euphoria, and Depression.

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Finance: What is the Unemployment Rate?15 Views

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finance a la shmoop what is the unemployment rate so negative like

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shouldn't it be the employment rate at least that way we'd have a bigger number

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and bigger is better in the u.s. right well anyway the unemployment rate in

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this country is tracked carefully because it's one of the Canaries in the

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mine shaft giving us an early heads-up on the direction of the economy well [canary hopping in cage in mineshaft]

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jobs are generally highly volatile in a given range and the government copiously

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inspects this data as it affects so many other things principally the costs of

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renting money has set out by the Fed because high employment stimulates

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inflation and low does the opposite well the government's gonna ask is the

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unemployment rate shrinking too fast I eat everyone's getting jobs well if so [government officials in conference]

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then beware inflation is coming which historically has motivated the Fed to

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raise interest rates in response or constrict the supply of cash out there

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and the opposite is true as well one of the big cocktail party conflicts and if

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you find yourself at a cocktail party debating this notion make like the

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Jordan Peele movie and get out but if you can't and you must debate well there

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is a quote natural rate unquote of unemployment of around five or six

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percent yeah zero percent unemployment ain't never

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gonna happen generally the higher the unemployment rate the worse shape the

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economy is in but remember the unemployment rate doesn't tell the whole

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story the government can help create a bunch of temporary or low-paying jobs

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too cosmetically raise the employment rate in the short term like ahead of an [happy government officials in conference]

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election but the quality of those jobs is probably not great like think temp

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workers at the DMV well after a while of longer term unemployment some people [long line at the DMV]

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will just give up hunting for jobs and if they don't even go on indeed or

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Glassdoor looking for work so they're kind of permanently in the unemployment

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numbers so the unemployment rate might seem to be a bit less dire in that case [unemployed people holding up cardboard signs]

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but in fact well there might still be a lot of people who needed jobs out there

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we don't know we're just looking for some numbers to help us direct

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understanding of where the economy has gone and help us then tweak things so

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interest rates are optimized at the inflation numbers that we want to hit

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license plate that shows you red yeah a whole lot of government workers I [hand adds stickers on back of license place]

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guess do that now bad times

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