Echo Bubble
It's a missed opportunity that no techno band ever called itself "Echo Bubble." There's still time...
Think about an echo. You're standing at the mouth of a cave and you yell out your name. You hear the name repeated back at you, quieter and quieter until, eventually, it's silent again.
Okay, now think about a bubble. Not the soapy floating thing that kids love. The financial kind. The kind where suddenly tulips are selling for house-sized prices and the whole trading community has lost its collective mind.
Now put the concepts together.
You have a financial bubble. That bubble bursts. But some people still hold tragic hope that it was all a dream-turned-nightmare. So as prices fall, suckers move in to "catch the falling knife." Wall Street phrase, common in bubble-burstings. Prices go up again for a while. A new bubble-ette forms. Not as big as the first one, but a smaller, quieter version. An echo...an echo bubble.
Of course, it's still a bubble, so it's bound to burst. But again, as they say, "falling can feel like flying...for a while."
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Finance: What is a Bubble?5 Views
Finance allah shmoop what is ah bubble All right well
this is a bubble See what happened there got bigger
and bigger and bigger And then it popped and here's
the stock market from about nineteen Ninety two until about
two thousand It got bigger and bigger and bigger And
then it popped And yet was a bubble not just
a big fat bull market It was a crazy ludicrous
tulip mania Kind of time like start ups with almost
no revenues trading and billions of dollars Yep And tulip
mania That was a really thing One tulip sold for
forty grand go figure wasn't like if you ate it
you lived forever So yeah it was a bubble So
what caused the ninety nine bubble Well greed and it
wasn't good At least for some The internet had come
along It was a new thing consumers by the millions
could download in the privacy of their homes Art films
Yeah That's what we'll call them art films by the
terabyte money was flowing from silicon valley investors into startups
at record pace hoping to take advantage of this new
amazing internet thing and the valuations of companies got higher
And higher and higher Nasdaq went up some four hundred
percent in just half a dozen years and the blessed
cos traded at one hundred times trailing revenue not earnings
but revenue So if you think about the idea that
if you invest a dollar and you want to get
more than that back and that dollar comes from profits
of companies than one hundred times revenues cos we're probably
something like five hundred times earnings or more So for
one hundred dollars oven investment you've got like a dollar
of revenues in twenty cents of potential earnings Like maybe
a a decade later maybe yeah that's a bubble and
it burst At least you don't have that danger with
actual tulips or bitcoins Yeah they take bitcoins when you
buy tulips Would be kind of a good marriage there