Financial Analyst

  

See: Sellside Analyst. See: Buyside Analyst.

Like ice cream, financial analysts come in many flavors, but all do the same thing: They analyze money. (Okay, so ice cream doesn't do that.) Is so-and-so a good credit risk? Is this company worthy of a B rating in its bonds? Is this stock a buy, a sell, or a hold? Does my own mother understand what I do?

The lion's share of financial analysts work on Wall Street for "buy" or "sell" side firms. A buy side firm is a mutual fund, hedge fund, or other investment entity charged with managing money for an individual. The sell firms are the stock brokers who sell money for a living. And you have to understand this maybe subtle but very key difference to be able to understand what financial analysts do—or rather, the perspective they have when they're doing their jobs.

Financial analysts on the buy side are trying to find a rationale to buy something—to figure out if or how a given investment opportunity is cheap. Is the world just panicked for no good reason? Is there something fundamentally wrong with this company? Is it actually just fairly priced for all the risks involved?

Financial analysts on the sell side get paid in large part based on the volume of commission dollars flowing through the desk that they cover. So if you follow the media industry for a large investment bank, much of your power and pay will derive from the buy side firms simply liking the work you do. You might even get a "Good Job!" sticker.

The buy side firms pay the investment bank by trading through it. They could buy or sell Disney shares from a hundred different players, but they chose your bank because they like the financial analysis you did on the new Nairobi theme parks and ESPN 37.

There's a subtle but important difference here in the impetus behind the reports financial analysts create. One is about stock ownership; the other is about transacting. The day is spent largely making models based on meetings with management, pasted over a "macro" picture for how the world is doing.

Financial analysts want to run money—that is, they want to become portfolio managers. (See: Mutual Fund Manager and Hedge Fund Managers for details.) Ultimately, they want to make money run right into their wallets.

You could try to argue that people get into this biz because of the love of fierce competition, or because they like the challenge of predicting in what directions the financial world is going to turn, but really, they just want to make money.

And there's no shame in that. Money takes care of your family. Money keeps you out of debt and relieves the stress of worrying how you're going to pay your mortgage or other bills. Money buys fancy Italian cars. Okay, so maybe that last example wasn't quite as noble as the others, but you get the idea.

Because money is the be-all-end-all, practically every moment of a financial analyst's waking life—or of their working life, anyway—is spent with that goal in mind. This means that you won't be strolling into the office at 9:30 am and skipping out at 4:00 pm when you think the boss isn't looking. The more hours you put in, the more money you make, so you're going to put in a lot of overtime.

Don't expect to see your spouse and kids much. It's going to take a Herculean effort on your part to make yourself a major part of their lives so they don't grow up resenting you. (Little known "fact": Hercules was both a tremendous father as well as a financial analyst. He's more famous for his physical exploits, however.)

There is the chance to make some major moolah in this gig...and that's really all it comes down to. If you struggle (at least relative to others in your profession) and can't seem to get ahead, you're a failure. If you have more money than you know what to do with, you're a success. It's as simple as that.

There's no Financial Analyst of the Year Award; no monument will be constructed to memorialize your achievements. You work for the allure of the dollar alone. Actually, the allure of many, many dollars. Analyze that.

Related or Semi-related Video

Finance: What are Valuation Analysis, Fo...4 Views

00:00

Finance Allah shmoop What are valuation analysis formats and ratios

00:11

It's a thing dot com It sells Who's ima wa

00:15

s Okay but investors want to know what percentage of

00:17

the company there ten million bucks will buy So somebody

00:21

has to know what it's worth and why There has

00:24

to be some exercise here which delivers an actual number

00:27

that says at this moment it's a thing dot com

00:30

is worth X Well in real life the most sophisticated

00:34

valuation format lives in applying a discounted cash flow analysis

00:38

model Yeah go watch are most excellent video directed by

00:41

Martin Scorsese on that topic If you haven't seen it

00:44

it won the Golden Mullah Award back in two thousand

00:47

eighteen Well if you haven't seen it the notion is

00:49

that company's heir valued as a stream of their cash

00:52

profits like into the future Cash profits Five million next

00:55

year Ten million The next eighteen million accents sold for

00:58

one hundred million the next Then all those cash flows

01:01

or discounted back or divided by one plus the risk

01:04

free rate I'ii uh you know the rent You could

01:07

get on your cash just by investing in U S

01:10

Government bonds plus risk Got it So that is risk

01:14

that the ten million of cash profits doesn't in fact

01:17

happen in real life like you're taking more risk than

01:19

you are investing in government bonds when you invest in

01:22

equities like this right So if the risk free rate

01:24

is in a three percent like a five year T

01:27

Bill or something like that then you might pile risk

01:29

on top of that of saying six percent or ten

01:32

percent or twenty percent a year And the certainty of

01:34

that ten million box in profits in two years changes

01:38

a lot and then that hundred million at the very

01:40

end Well it might have huge discounting like be divided

01:43

by one plus the risk free rate plus a huge

01:47

risk premium act on in the denominator making one hundred

01:50

million a very small number like it's very risky So

01:53

maybe that discount rate ends up being I don't know

01:55

say thirty percent added to the risk free rate and

01:57

it's four years out So it's taken to the fourth

02:00

power Yeah a lot of discounting that it looks like

02:02

this You got one point Oh three plus point three

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Oh it's one point three three then to the fourth

02:08

power that you're going to divide into one hundred million

02:10

and give that a huge haircut But okay okay this

02:13

is a sophisticated Wall Street e way of valuing companies

02:16

There are simpler methods Multiples of sales is another one

02:19

that while people use And yes of course we have

02:21

an entire video on that one as well A company

02:24

has highly volatile profits like this is kind of company

02:27

that would use a multiple of sales valuation positive twenty

02:30

percent margins in great times negative fifteen percent margins in

02:34

bad times and an average over a decade of statement

02:37

of ten percent margins So on five hundred million of

02:39

sales it might on average have fifty million in net

02:42

profits and the average grows over time But the company

02:45

quote should unquote trade at a market multiple minus two

02:48

turns or something like that Or set another way if

02:51

the S and P five hundred straining at sixteen times

02:53

earnings well then maybe this crappy company that's highly cyclical

02:56

should trade it fourteen times Well fourteen times fifty is

02:59

seven hundred and note that that's about one point four

03:03

times sales Wealthy calculation then revolve around sales instead of

03:07

profits usually since year after year profits are yeah all

03:11

over the place where sales are relatively steady like they'll

03:14

go up three percent in Goodyear and down to percent

03:17

of badly or something like that So that's a multiple

03:19

of sales valuation format It's often used for early stage

03:23

companies who really don't have profits and would reinvest all

03:26

their free profits or cash into growth anyway So you

03:28

can imagine the same system applying to things like multiples

03:31

of gross margin for multiples of operating margin like pre

03:34

tax profits With the basic idea being that the closer

03:37

you get to the top line sales number usually the

03:40

less volatile those numbers on a year in year out

03:43

basis are and then the easier the valuation remains to

03:46

dial in structurally well cash flow multiples are good delimit

03:50

er zzzz Well think about how quote phantom depreciation unquote

03:53

works in clouding the true earnings Pictures of things like

03:56

a factory that cost a billion bucks to build and

03:59

is being depreciated to zero over ten years might carry

04:02

an earnings hit to the income statement of well a

04:04

hundred million bucks a year in straight line appreciation It

04:07

takes the eighty million in profits the company is making

04:10

toe being an accounting loss of twenty million dollars So

04:14

how does that work Well you thought you were making

04:16

eighty million in net profits but it turns out you've

04:20

got to depreciate one hundred million for that factory You

04:22

lavished Tobi right Well the cash the company produces is

04:26

its cash flow like from progressive Yet you know her

04:29

and backing out that appreciation gives a much clearer picture

04:32

of the company's expected profit ability in the future i

04:35

e Its value meaning you pay a whole lot more

04:37

attention to that eighty million dollars in profits Then you

04:40

do the twenty million in losses But this valuation method

04:43

becomes extremely useful in cases where that factory being appreciated

04:46

to zero in ten years will in fact last more

04:49

like forty years and even then not be worth zero

04:52

So we have discounted cash flow We have multiple of

04:55

sales We have multiple of cash flow And then of

04:57

course the stalwart multiple of earnings or price to earnings

05:01

ratio as a basic valuation format or racial or structure

05:05

that drives the lives of oh so many investments P

05:08

ratios are probably the most common evaluation metric Whatever dot

05:11

com will earn after everything appreciation included a dollar next

05:16

year a dollar twenty the following year and a dollar

05:18

forty the next It trades this moment for twenty bucks

05:22

a share or twenty times this year's earnings That's twenty

05:24

over one point two times next year's earnings twenty over

05:27

one point four times at the following years And yet

05:30

you get the picture It looks like that Well the

05:32

price to earnings multiple usually goes down over time because

05:35

well most companies actually grow their earnings over time The

05:39

Gatun here is that companies often carry cash and or

05:41

debt So if a company has ten dollars a share

05:44

in debt and four dollars a share in cash well

05:46

then its price to earnings ratio is while still twenty

05:49

But it likely has Mohr volatilities in its movements as

05:52

the debt is well kind of like gasoline on a

05:55

fire when things go well or poorly So yeah those

05:57

were the most common methods of assessing the value of

06:00

a company or a stock and you've got to take

06:03

all of them with many grains assault Although uh well

06:05

It's much easier if you just have one of these 00:06:07.671 --> [endTime] things to assess

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