Return On Total Assets - ROTA

  

Categories: Investing, Metrics

The formula: "Return" here is usually net income; it goes into the numerator. Then in the denominator? Total Assets. Alllll of them. Current. Long-term. Tangible. Intangible. And others. All. That's what goes in the denominator...the whole asset enchilada.

It asks, "How well are you managing the assets you have?" Like...if you'd spent $18 billion on whatever.com factories but only had earnings of, say, $100 million, your returns are 1/18,000. So...not very good. You get the gist.

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Finance: How does momentum work in inves...1 Views

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and finance Allah shmoop How does Mo mentum work in

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investment returns All right people we have mojo you know

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for a moment way have your groove you invested in

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I'm not here dot com A software company that completely

00:17

anonymous eyes is your presence anywhere on the grid that

00:21

is anywhere and everywhere Big brother thinks you are be

00:23

a mobile phone or e mail or chatbots Thing is

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it makes you anonymous You pay cash upfront to buy

00:29

this thing and poof you're gone The company had $50,000,000

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in revenues and 20,000,000 and expenses last year as word

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of mouth at all It's marketing for it So it

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had 30,000,000 pre tax and 20,000,000 after tax in earnings

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and traded at 20 times earnings for a $400,000,000 valuation

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at its AIPO But then suddenly it got sued by

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the U S And by Chinese governments to disclose the

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whereabouts of Carmen Sandiego Yeah you knew she couldn't hide

00:54

forever But the company declined open its server and big

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fuss ensued Lawyer bills were big but the press for

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the company was free and fantastic and far reaching Many

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cynics thought you paid off the government to sue you

01:07

just for all the free press it would garner So

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the next quarter when the company was supposed to print

01:12

18 cents a share in earnings it actually printed 23

01:16

cents And you note that on its balance sheet it's

01:18

deferred revenues line balloon from 17,000,000 tough 43,000,000 meaning that

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a ton of new sign ups came to the companies

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seeking to you know anonymous eyes themselves So now what

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do you do is an investor The stock has been

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trading around 20 bucks a share with 20,000,000 shares outstanding

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but now all of a sudden it's $32 a share

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The first print after the quarter is announced and you're

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thinking Damn I missed it But have you this mist

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it Resignation is an extremely common mistake among new or

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non professional investors or professional investors who are just not

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very good They don't look at the underlying fundamentals and

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the earnings momentum behind the stock So a pro a

01:58

good one would ask a few questions like Is this

02:01

market saturated like the price to anonymous eyes yourself for

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100 bucks a year so with say $50,000,000 in trailing

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revenues That would mean that 500,000 people have signed up

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to anonymous themselves Don't you think the world market is

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something closer to 100,000,000 people who'd anonymous eyes and then

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maybe you know 100 bucks each Right That's a world

02:21

market of something like $10,000,000,000 And if I'm not here

02:25

dot com own say 30% of that world market Well

02:28

they'd be $3,000,000,000 in revenues and enormous profits So it's

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not like they've already dominated an early tiny market Right

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There are 7,000,000,000 people on this planet and you're assuming

02:39

100,000,000 or 100 over 7000 there Whatever that percentages Yeah

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that would be the market Okay next question How good

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is this business Well to run it It's almost entirely

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about automating a software process that works with phone companies

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and cable companies and anyone else who provides Internet access

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to the masses along with a small army of lawyers

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who send a cease and desist letters toe websites and

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a few other masking app things that company updates every

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now and then Well in return for that identity masking

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of I P address and phone trails while the company

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collects 100 bucks their marginal additional cost on that 100

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very little Maybe a few dollars like the 501,000 customer

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cost the company like three bucks to manage and they

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collect a year's anonima izing cash up front right to

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get paid first Then they anonymized you for a year

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afterwards and most people who buy one year by a

03:33

second and third and fourth And so on the moment

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they don't continue to spend well they lose their anonymity

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and I'm not here dot com is actually evil enough

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so that they put out a mini press release on

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everyone who has Dia Na Nim ized with them so

03:46

that they are well highly incentivized to continue renewing for

03:22

100 bucks a year So then you return to the

03:52

earnings mo mentum story The company just printed 23 cents

03:54

a share and fully tax earnings It was a big

03:57

earnings beat with big things clearly going on with its

04:00

balance sheet The stock's at 32 bucks a share now

04:02

with 20,000,000 shares outstanding giving it evaluation of well just

04:06

over 600,000,000 and anonymous izing is fast becoming a thing

04:10

in America and around the world and I'm not here

04:12

is ideally poised to take advantage of this mega trend

04:16

Could the company have 1,000,000 subscribers paying 100 bucks a

04:18

year this coming year Worldwide absolutely couldn't have 9,000,000 shore

04:24

easily It's not like we're going to run out of

04:25

people So suppose that had 4,000,000 paying 100 bucks And

04:29

this is a total guess because well you have little

04:32

window into the world other than to note that tons

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of partners are voluntarily linking to their website now presumably

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getting commissions for the sale of that $100 anonymous izing

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year And while you can kind of track that number

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if you spend the time so you're thinking well some

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affiliate gets $20 for getting $100 sale for the company

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so they only keep 80 instead of 100 But their

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marginal cost like five bucks or three about something like

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that So yeah that makes sense logically So if the

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company had 2,000,000 paying $100 a year the company would

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be printing $200,000,000 in revenues likely with only marginally more

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costs than the 20,000,000 in operating costs And then well

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then you had in taxes right like there's affiliate fees

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and so on that they'd have to pay So maybe

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the company as ah no $50,000,000 in operating expenses or

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objects to then be taxed on 150,000,000 of operating profit

05:21

to the tune of say 40,000,000 to then have 110,000,000

05:24

in earnings Is that a reasonable estimate Sure given the

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huge amount of press and chaos going on all over

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the world with governments terrified of anonymous citizens and citizens

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loving the freedom of being anonymous Sure 2,000,000 feels easily

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doable this year And if company does these numbers well

05:41

then on 20,000,000 shares outstanding with 110,000,000 in earnings they'd

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be printing something closer to five bucks a share in

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earnings fully tax unlevel earnings and in the process they'll

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have generated over $100,000,000 in cash on their balance sheet

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And with this kind of spectacular growth the company should

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trade at a vastly higher multiple than 20 gones earnings

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more like 30 40 50 maybe even 80 times But

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even if you pick 50 times for your target multiple

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on that five bucks a share in earnings and you

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just ignore the fat cash stash being generated on the

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balance sheet with no debt you get a price target

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of something more like $250 a share in just one

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year Right That's 50 times the five bucks gives you

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to 50 a share Well with the stock trading at

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32 bucks a share now why isn't this a screaming

06:28

mo mentum by Well lots of nervous Nellies will worry

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about the government stepping in to regulate the company But

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can the government regulate them Is it even possible to

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d anonymous eyes in the cloud The company claims that

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it expunge is all of its data And while it

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may be possible Dian Ana my zing would certainly take

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a lot of time And you Khun bet that the

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engineers working for I'm not here are like 300 points

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smarter than the engineers working for government regulators Right So

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it'd take the G men in grey suits a very

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very long time to do harm but yeah Big brother's

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always watching So the trick is to you know pull

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the wool over his eyes and lead your life anonymously

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or at least a CZ anonymously as you can So 00:07:10.982 --> [endTime] good luck with that Yeah

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