Risk Aversion

  

Categories: Managed Funds

A bias that leads to people taking the “sure path” over the “risky-yet-can-pay-off-big-time path.”

The reason? Risk can certainly pay off, but it might not. Playing it safe, however, can avoid the nasty things that no one likes, including stares of contempt from a spouse. Risk aversion causes us to stay in a job that we hate, rather than attempting to start a business where we’re the boss. The business may eventually pay off with fame and fortune, but it may not. The job we hate will at least provide a paycheck and keep the evil bill collectors off our backs.

Risk aversion has a flip side, like the Force. People tend to take increased risks to prevent loss.

Does this sound familiar? It somewhat becomes an escalation of commitment. It’s also indicative of people who need Gambler’s Anonymous. For example, a person who takes $500 to the casino and loses it all...may not want to go home empty-handed and tell the family that they can’t afford to go on vacation during Spring Break. As a result, he goes to the ATM, and takes out another $500 and plays with that…and loses, blowing next year’s Spring Break, too. Now he gets to go home and explain that the next two Spring Breaks will be spent watching reruns on Netflix, because he couldn’t stop gambling.

Point to remember: risk aversion can either be a fear of trying something that might seem crazy for a nice reward...or doing something crazy to avoid loss.

Related or Semi-related Video

Finance: What is risk premium?0 Views

00:00

Finance Allah shmoop What is risk premium No it's not

00:07

This movie in three D risk premium comes from the

00:11

notion that when you invest in pretty much anything other

00:13

than US government debt there is more risk in that

00:16

other investment like even by the bonds of Disney or

00:18

Coke or GOOG or some other behemoth company of those

00:22

bonds carry more risk than US government paper And if

00:25

you bought the stocks I even equities not the bonds

00:28

of one of those beam off cos Well there's way

00:30

more risk Well historically stocks have swung up and down

00:33

violently in short periods over time but over long periods

00:37

of time they've gone up Ah lot Well regardless where

00:40

there is more perceived risk investors will demand more potential

00:44

reward Yeah the key idea here every investment carries more

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risk than US government paper So on top of whatever

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U S Government bonds air yielding investors tag on top

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of them a premium investment return that they require to

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be interested in investing So if say a five year

01:00

U S Government bond is yielding three percent and you're

01:03

looking at investing in bonds backed by a controversial low

01:06

warlord Somalian company Well there's at least some tangible risk

01:11

of bankruptcy there right Well then those bonds will carry

01:13

meaningful E a higher yield than the US government five

01:17

year paper If the risk that the company doesn't pay

01:19

back its bond is modest well then maybe that premiums

01:22

only one percent on top and those five year bonds

01:25

yield in a four percent If the risk is big

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they might have to yield eight or ten or fourteen

01:30

percent or more But those were extremely high rates at

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least these days The market's telling you that the company

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and backing the money already has one foot in the

01:38

grave So now let's go to a completely different way

01:40

of thinking about this extra risk your local diner Think

01:43

of our risk free five year U S Government bonds

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of yielding three percent and being priced like a dinner

01:49

salad which is the cheapest item on the menu right

01:51

here So everything else will cost more than that salad

01:55

crew tones included So then when you're ordering if you

01:59

wanted a burger it's total gross Cost is seven bucks

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But you could also describe that cost to the angry

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waitress or friendly robot as dinner salad plus four bucks

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The premium tacked onto the salad price is four dollars

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for the burger Well risk is priced and described the

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same way there has to be added investment return to

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reflect the added risk to the investor on any given

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deal Be careful though There's inherent risk even if all

02:23

you do is order to the salad Especially if there's

02:26

been a romaine lettuce E Coli warning recently issued by

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the CDC And you do not want to go there 00:02:32.288 --> [endTime] My God

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