Risk Shifting

  

Categories: Trading

See: Risk Seeking.

When you shift your appetite for risk, you change the manner in which your portfolio or business is positioned. If you're bullish about your alpha, or sense for where the market or your particular investments are heading, either up or down, then you'd want to add gasoline to the fire, add risk, make your bets with derivative instruments or leverage, so that if (when?) you're right, you make 5x your money instead of a paltry 2.34234x.

Investors, particularly hedge fund people, shift risk appetitie all the time. When they're very confident in a bull or bear scenario, they'll add risk or leverage. When they're not, they typically de-risk by having cash be a big part of the portfolio, or just reducing leverage and exposure to their bets.

Related or Semi-related Video

Finance: What is market risk?5 Views

00:00

Finance Allah shmoop what is market risk All right There

00:08

are a lot of risks when you invest money Two

00:10

of the most common categories are unsystematic risk And yes

00:13

of course systematic risk Also known as market risk Well

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unsystematic risk refers to risks linked to a specific stock

00:21

or security So you buy shares in your dad's publicly

00:24

traded ice cream company and the company goes bankrupt Who

00:27

knew pork rind ice cream would prove so unpopular Who

00:30

knew well that's unsystematic risk You made a bad investment

00:34

and you paid for it by losing everything you invested

00:38

un systematically Well that's individual stock risk or in systematic

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risk AII bad brain bad return What not all investments

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do well In fact many of them do poorly even

00:47

for the best of investors So most professionals diversify their

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eggs such that not all of them are invested in

00:53

one stock or one basket So that revolves around unsystematic

00:57

risk That is risk You can actually do something about

01:00

and improve your odds of being successful like by being

01:03

a good smart investor But then there's market risk which

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just exists as a natural part of the risk world

01:10

For illustrative purposes You could choose to not take any

01:13

road risk Like when you drive on the roads Your

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odds of being hit by some idiot texting his girlfriend

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and not looking at the double yellow line are not

01:21

one in a good Gillian right You also have a

01:23

risk of a tire blowout or a tree falling on

01:26

you or skidding into a mailbox on that hill with

01:28

the gravel in the oil slick from the construction people

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right Those are all quote market risks unquote of driving

01:35

So why do it Why drive Why not just stay

01:38

home Never leave the house get Amazon and door dash

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and ups to take care of all of your needs

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and never suffer the market risk of dying on the

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road Well for some people this probably is a good

01:49

idea Well the same allegory lives in the stock market

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When you invest in stocks odds are extremely high that

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at some period while their value will go down maybe

01:58

a lot You can't head yourself against things like terrorist

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attacks and natural disasters political upheaval and zombie apocalypses or

02:06

apocalypse side They say The zombie There's no real way

02:09

to protect yourself against market risk It's just systematic It's

02:13

part of the system Got it So there's no way

02:15

to deal with market risk other than for one thing

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time Historically the stock market goes up over time Check

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out this glorious chart running for one hundred years in

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change for what the market is done without even calculating

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the additional return from dividends distributed along the way Well

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you can see that there has rarely been an extended

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period of time when the market didn't go up and

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or at least distribute enough in dividends Such that in

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each decade while there's been a nicely positive return from

02:42

being invested in the stock market could this suddenly change

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and go the other direction such that we have half

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a century of no growth Sure but that would be

02:51

a big departure from the way our driving has gone

02:53

in the past on the roads But you never know

02:56

There's always the N plus one idiot out there texting

02:59

and driving and you know really not giving a

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