Short Selling

  

Categories: Trading, Investing

See: Short Squeeze. See: Short (or Short Position). See: Short Sale (not the real estate kind).

When you sell a stock, you are shorting it. That is, you are betting that its value will decline. Sad fact: any gains you make from shorting are taxed at ordinary income rates, even if you were short for over a year. Kind of a weird version of a Napoleon Complex.

Related or Semi-related Video

Finance: How does shorting a put work?1 Views

00:00

and finance Allah shmoop How does shorting a put work

00:06

Oh okay people your shorting or selling a put option

00:11

Easy derivatives trades You may very well want to do

00:14

in real life someday so let's frame things here first

00:17

To review a put is the right to sell a

00:21

security For now just think about selling Puts on the

00:23

shares of a normal liquid publicly traded company in This

00:27

makes sense because in reality oddball names that trade only

00:30

small volumes just don't get big markets made in them

00:33

by the banks who trade in them So the spreads

00:35

are so high that trading at all in those exotic

00:38

weird derivatives makes almost no sense So when you think

00:42

normal liquid publicly traded company think shares of a volatile

00:46

name but one that's liquid like G E In the

00:48

modern era it trades a kazillion shares a day It's

00:52

very liquid Well you liked the stock when it bottomed

00:55

around seven or eight bucks a share You bought it

00:57

big 100,000 shares and then you waited Then there were

01:01

takeout Rumors that Warren Buffet and Berkshire Hathaway were going

01:04

to buy the company in a stock popped a $15

01:06

a share on that whispery rumor And at that point

01:09

you sold your long position I e the shares you

01:12

just bought like a normal human being in the marketplace

01:14

At an average cost of $7 a 52 cents U

01:18

then sold them after been doubling your money in three

01:21

years and change and you felt good about that score

01:23

Buy low sell high long term gain cheaper tax treatment

01:27

Easy But you felt that your love affair in making

01:30

money off of G E stock wasn't over You had

01:33

Mohr you know lovemaking To dio you watch longingly is

01:36

the stocks slipped back to $11 in 1/4 from a

01:39

peak of 15 80 on buffets and Berkshires fervent public

01:43

denials that they were buying the company We're not buying

01:46

G I keep telling you people we're not buying it

01:50

Okay so in the process the company was beginning to

01:52

be perceived differently like from something that was dead to

01:56

something that was recovering albeit slowly but that had real

02:00

value So you amused But if it wasn't Berkshire and

02:03

buffet buying G it'd be someone else's someday But that

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day might be very very far away or long way

02:10

off So you feel good about the stock here at

02:12

11 bucks and change You feel good about its prospects

02:14

a long term and you're thinking maybe the stock grows

02:17

a dollar a year for a few years from here

02:20

going to 12 Boring boring Lee Generally okay not exciting

02:24

not exciting enough to buy the stock in a vanilla

02:27

basic long you know non 50 shades kind of way

02:30

Importantly you notice that in the craziest volatility of the

02:34

rumored buyout and the spike then decline in the stock

02:37

price that the derivatives market quote went nuts unquote That

02:41

is a bunch of putting call option owners got massively

02:44

jerked around in this huge stock price change with shares

02:47

that had hovered around eight or so Bucks share for

02:50

almost a year like a dead man's pulse So then

02:52

today with the derivatives traders hugely stressed out will you

02:56

think there's a way you can take advantage of their

02:58

nervousness and you decide to execute what's called the dead

03:02

money trade That is you think that at 11 bucks

03:05

a share G is pretty much dead money for awhile

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that it'll go down to 10 on bad market days

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and maybe walk to 12 on good days but that

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it's just gonna be me Meg for at least the

03:15

next three or 45 months maybe longer So you're going

03:19

to short or sell a put option on G Well

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in doing so you're going to sell someone else the

03:25

right to put their shares to you or to force

03:29

you to buy their shares at a given price over

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a given time period If the math makes sense for

03:35

them to do so that is you're going to give

03:37

them the right to sell you their shares of GM

03:40

set price over a set period of time And in

03:42

return you're going to collect premium from them They think

03:47

of the premium they're going to pay you as share

03:49

or stock quote term life insurance unquote And you look

03:53

at the numbers while the trading sheet looks like this

03:56

and you think that if you just quote had Teo

03:58

unquote by a ton of Gaea 10 bucks a share

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today you'd be fine with that You think the shares

04:03

traded just 10 times the dollars share that the new

04:06

CEO of Gaea signaled that they'll earn next year And

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if you had to be just a big owner of

04:10

the stock for a long period of time then fine

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You alone a bunch of Gaea cost basis of 10

04:15

bucks So you decide to anchor $10 as your strike

04:18

price in this put option That's the quote long price

04:21

unquote at which you'd be happy just buying a bunch

04:24

of G E stock But wait there's more You're going

04:27

to collect term life insurance for this privilege on this

04:30

stock The nervous Nellie derivatives trader on the other end

04:32

of your trade is offering to pay a dollar a

04:34

share such that she has the right to sell Yugi

04:37

shares for 10 bucks each meaning that she thinks there's

04:41

decent odds that the company trades down to seven or

04:43

six or five bucks a share in the very near

04:46

time period of a few months And she's happy to

04:48

pay a dollar a share for the life insurance Teo

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you know make that security happen in her head If

04:53

that stock does trade to six bucks a share she

04:56

can just force you to buy it at $10 a

04:59

share So when you collect that dollar from her if

05:02

you then had to buy the G shares at 10

05:04

bucks each well then your net cost per share would

05:07

in fact be nine bucks and it nine bucks You

05:10

think the stock is just stupid chief and that it's

05:13

a screaming by And if you're short put trade quote

05:15

blew up unquote and G did trade down to seven

05:19

bucks a share Yes you'll have lost $2 a share

05:21

in buying it And being long then Aton of shares

05:24

at nine bucks your cost No but you still think

05:26

it gets to 15 bucks in next three years so

05:29

you'll be just fine sitting on those shares long and

05:32

you know holding them you know snugly So that's more

05:34

or less the worst case outcome saving the potential that

05:37

in fact he ends up going bankrupt and well then

05:39

you lose everything but Teo you that feels like a

05:42

huge stretch at the moment Anyway you think Nelly is

05:45

nervous for no good rational reason She only looks at

05:48

charts and technicals but you study the fundamentals of the

05:52

company and you know more than she does about how

05:54

g e is really doing operationally So you have your

05:57

$10 strike price at that price you feel great about

06:00

having to be very long stock at nine bucks with

06:02

that dollar premium you would've collect And you know that

06:05

if you want to be exposed to that term life

06:07

insurance for G for only 10 weeks instead of 20

06:10

or 25 weeks well then you could just take in

06:13

50 cents of premium and be done with it sooner

06:15

So if you did that shorter term short put trade

06:18

you'd collect 50 cents a share and then have just

06:20

roughly 50 trading days toe wait and hold your breath

06:22

And with the stock trading right now at 11 25

06:25

a share if it stays above 10 Bach's well then

06:27

the 50 cents you collected per share ends up just

06:30

being fully owned by you Justus if you were a

06:32

term life insurance company and that month the guy didn't

06:35

die the time expires Or in derivatives speak the data

06:38

decays to zero and you're done You've made 50 cents

06:41

a share for doing nothing more than taking on the

06:44

risk or liability of having to buy a load of

06:47

G stock it 10 bucks a share within those weeks

06:49

when you're you know exposed But you think GI is

06:52

dead money for longer than just a couple of months

06:54

and change You think it's dead money for 45456 months

06:58

something like that So it's march now and you decide

07:00

to sell the September 10 puts And yes that's the

07:03

nomenclature When you do any of these kinds of derivative

07:05

trades you don't give the actual date that the options

07:08

expire because by default they always expire on the third

07:11

Friday of the month So this September that expiration date

07:14

happens to be September 17th your thus exposed to G

07:18

stock through March today than April May June July August

07:23

and then by September This put option expires in Mill

07:26

just goes away and note that because you're taking so

07:28

much more time orthe ada risk you got to collect

07:32

a full dollar in premium And yes we're talking about

07:36

premium life insurance here loosely That's where it comes from

07:39

versus that very short risk timeframe of two and 1/2

07:41

months where you would have only collected in a 50

07:43

cents for guaranteeing you'd buy G for 10 bucks a

07:46

share in that time period so things tryingto long and

07:48

in two months later you're in the doldrums of summer

07:51

and G dips to nine bucks a share Well guess

07:54

what The trader on the other side can in most

07:56

cases force a conversion That is they then execute the

08:01

right to put their shares on you You then must

08:04

buy them out at 10 box and then you'd be

08:06

very long The stock I you then Oh nah Lot

08:09

of shares in practice with just a break even position

08:12

here where you'd collect your dollar a premium and the

08:14

trader on the other side of the trade would just

08:16

be unwinding her position While the early execution doesn't happen

08:20

all that often had G stock condo five or six

08:23

box or lower While then likely you'd be put those

08:25

shares way early It's noteworthy that these Air American style

08:29

options by the way not European ones American options execute

08:33

or can be converted on any day until their expiration

08:37

whereas European style options on ly convert on their expiration

08:41

date So there is essentially Mohr option or Optionality you

08:45

know kind of like Wesson ality at least that kind

08:47

of value in American options over European ones American ones

08:51

you know which you can think of as a siri's

08:53

of little one day options that have faded decay decaying

08:56

entirely each day along the way to their expiration Like

09:00

so many trading days 114 or whatever left need to

09:03

pass with the stock above 10 bucks for you to

09:05

collect your full life insurance premium there But in this

09:08

case the Stuck then bounces off its lows of nine

09:11

bucks It kisses 11 again and just remains there another

09:14

month and change when that third Friday in September finally

09:17

happens and the put option expires fully well you've collected

09:20

your dollar share it's 100% profit to you and you've

09:24

done little more than be nervous during that summer when

09:26

the stock was kissing break even to you I eat

09:29

If it was put to you a 10 box when

09:31

it was trading at nine bucks then you would've still

09:33

collected your dollar in premium and just be very long

09:36

the stock at nine bucks and note that as the

09:38

put gets closer and closer to that expiration date even

09:42

with a dead flat stock price of 11 25 day

09:44

after day after day that put option becomes gradually less

09:48

valuable like here the likely values as it goes along

09:52

the way So all this is generally good news for

09:54

you The Unnerve Assn Ellie until you get your tax

09:57

bill all gains from these type of trades even if

10:00

you had let them run over a year are tax

10:03

as ordinary income So if you live in a blue

10:06

state you pay a 40 45% tax and mohr less

10:10

split half your profits with the government And had the

10:12

stock actually taken off and gone to $20 a share

10:15

in this time period as Buffet and Gang did decide

10:18

to buy the company well then you the short put

10:21

er would have on ly collected your dollar in premium

10:23

and nothing else So just like that your sordid love

10:27

affair with G is then over But don't worry though

10:30

there are plenty of other options in the sea Hey

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