The Great Recession

  

Categories: Econ

See: Recession.

The Great Recession was the largest recession since the Great Depression in the 1930s. It started December 2007 in the U.S., and later spread outward to the entire globe, creating a global recession that kicked in around 2009. U.S. GDP dropped by 0.3% in 2008, and by a further 2.8% in 2009. Unemployment peaked at 10%, and stayed up even after the recession was said to have ended. Besides losing jobs, over three million foreclosures happened in 2008 alone.

A liquidity crisis began, as there was a run on the shadow banking system: banks were declaring bankruptcy, or merging to stay above water. Insurers who were supposed to have bank liabilities covered couldn’t handle the damage, so even they were bailed out by the government, in addition to many of the big banks.

Okay, so let’s get down to brass tacks: wtf happened? The TL;DR version: bank regulations were relaxed, and banks bit off more than they could chew.

A lot of shade was thrown at Alan Greenspan, who was the Fed Chair during the Reaganomics reign, when all those big bank regulations were cut. Greenspan really believed that the banks had our backs...that they wouldn’t take on too much risk, because it wouldn’t be in their best interest either. In the man’s own words, “Those of us who have looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholders' equity, myself included, are in a state of shocked disbelief.”

The U.S. Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, the official recession-doctor said, "The crisis was avoidable and was caused by: Widespread failures in financial regulation, including the Federal Reserve's failure to stem the tide of toxic (totally underwater, no hope of paying back principal) mortgages; Dramatic breakdowns in corporate governance, including too many financial firms acting recklessly and taking on too much risk; An explosive mix of excessive borrowing and risk by households and Wall Street that put the financial system on a collision course with crisis; Key policy makers ill-prepared for the crisis, lacking a full understanding of the financial system they oversaw; and systemic breaches in accountability and ethics at all levels.”

Consumer banking and commercial banking were no longer separated, and banks were given a longer leash. Toxic, mortgage-backed securities flourished, and banks took on obscene amounts of risk. All that risk built up, and bit us in the backside when it came crashing down. Since consumer banking and commercial banking were all mixed into one stew, everyone lost.

And, because everyone lost, the Fed and the U.S. Government decided to bail out the banks...the ones that were supposed to be “too big too fail.” And yet, many economists point to this as a mistake. If banks know that the U.S. government will just bail them out when they're acting too risky and greedy, then why would they do anything differently in the future?

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Finance: What is Recession?15 Views

00:00

finance a la shmoop what is recession well here's one here's another and

00:08

another and well here's an economic recession so technically when GDP [Set of teeth appear]

00:13

declines for two sequential quarters that is a recession and you can glean

00:18

enough from this most excellent chart that in most years GDP grows not

00:23

massively but relatively steadily and with compounding the US has grown GDP

00:28

from a trickle to a torrent in a recession economic activity declines [Recession definition appears]

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maybe a half a percent a percent maybe two percent and you might not think

00:37

that's a big deal but we're a nation living on credit that is plastic these [Man using credit card]

00:42

things mortgages car loans bunch of other credit II kind of things so a

00:46

decline of even 1% when we were expecting growth of two is a delta of 3%

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and that change is exacerbated with leverage when people fear for their job

00:58

safety they stop buying those extra pairs of earrings at the mall they get [Woman biting her nails]

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one less tattoo and they stop making appointments at Botox Depot so all of

01:08

the sudden activity in given quote luxury sectors or otherwise unquote just [Person receiving a tattoo]

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stops dead and there's a multiplier effect here as well because a wealthy

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banker who used to throw 20 parties a year now only throws four so all those [Calendar displaying party days appears]

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bartenders and oboe players and ice sculptors yeah they're all out of work

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as well and then they buy less beer and that new ice pick the sculptor was gonna

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buy yeah well she'll just sharpen her own and make do with it you know until

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the GDP grows again after the recession is over in a few years so yeah [Boom/bust cycle appears]

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recessions they're dangerous and credit high credit makes them all the more

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dangerous so be wary

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