Odds of Going Pro

Odds of Going Pro

1
5%

Record: 13 wins, 10 losses, 25th in your weight class, good tournament participation record

Most of your competition footage consists of you caught in a series of painful holds. While ESPN isn't interested, YouTube certainly thinks you're hilarious.

2
25%

Record: 16 wins, 7 losses, 15th in your weight class, one tournament win, All-League

You're not winning any college tournaments and you spend a lot of your time nursing nagging injuries. The athletes you face are bigger, stronger, and faster than you are. You're beginning to suspect that you have wrestled one or more terminators.

3
50%

Record: 19 wins, 4 losses, 10th in your weight class, two tournament wins, All-League, All-State

You're not bad, but a single back injury ends any narrow hope you had of a future in wrestling. At least if you succeed in another career, you'll have an interesting bit of trivia in your background.

4
75%

Record: 21 wins, 2 losses, 5th in your weight class, three tournament wins, All-League, All-State, All-American

It's time to start thinking about what you want to do. You're never going to be at the top of the game. Your best hope is a silver medal, the middle of the UFC roster, or the guy the WWE champ beats on for a round or two before getting hit with a folding chair. You do like getting hit with chairs, right?

5
95%

Record: 23 wins, 0 losses, 1st in your weight class, five tournament wins, All-League, All-State, All-American

It's time to get serious. No matter what path you choose, you're going to have to master new skills and perfect old ones. In any case, this is your life, and you better embrace it. Lose concentration in the ring, and you're going to get hurt.

Summary:

Ever hear the phrase, "one in a million"? Well, you'll need to be exactly that if you want to go pro. Think about the best high school athlete in your district of 10 high schools. The absolute Big Man in the area. He gets headhunted so hard by colleges that he can barely spare time for his school work, let alone friends. Then, he gets into college and is a total all star there...of the 12 best all stars on his team that year. Well, guess, what? Only one of those guys will be a pro in five years...if this is a top class of athletes out of the the past several years. 

So, even if you're in the 95th percentile of all NCAA athletes in your sport, you've still got a snowball's chance in a microwave of going pro. Not to mention actually mattering at all. More than likely, you'll still be struggling to eke out a living on the bench for a year or stuck on a farm team until you're forced to look for other work. We could bludgeon you with more data and stats, but as you dream about success, just make sure you're hedging your bets.

In other words: enjoy that "alternative" career, Shmooper. (#realtalk)