Odds of Going Pro

Odds of Going Pro

1
5%

0 tries, 2 tackles, GPA 3.3

Rugby career? What rugby career? You played on the team for one semester and then dropped it to pursue crochet as a revolutionary post-post-modernist art form.

2
25%

3 tries, 15 tackles, GPA 3.7

The NCAA's draconian demands made you leave the official team pretty early on. You still play on a recreational league twice a month and that suits you just fine. It leaves plenty of time for you to study and socialize.

3
50%

7 tries, 42 tackles, GPA 3.5

You're a strong player who knows the game inside and out. At the same time, though, you're about to be handed a degree in statistics and you've already gotten a few job offers. You could choose to pursue rugby further…but you know those odds aren't in your favor.

4
75%

9 tries, 57 tackles, GPA 3.0

You have four years of great rugby under your belt and you're even considering taking your game to the professional level. Unfortunately, your options as far as the professional level are limited. If you want to keep rugby in your life, consider a club team or maybe even coaching.

5
95%

11 tries, 83 tackles, GPA 3.1

You're a good player. A really good player. A really, really, really good player. But when there's only one professional team that you can try to get on, being really, really, really good might not be enough. With a pinch of luck and a few jaw-dropping plays, however, you might land a spot with the Eagles. But to be brutally honest with you, being in the 95% probably isn't enough. You need to be in the 99.99% to make this dream come true.

Summary:

Ever hear the phrase, "one in a million"? Well, you'll need to be exactly that if you want to go pro. Think about the best high school athlete in your district of 10 high schools. The absolute Big Man in the area. He gets headhunted so hard by colleges that he can barely spare time for his school work, let alone friends. Then, he gets into college and is a total all star there...of the 12 best all stars on his team that year. Well, guess, what? Only one of those guys will be a pro in five years...if this is a top class of athletes out of the the past several years.

So, even if you're in the 95th percentile of all NCAA athletes in your sport, you've still got a snowball's chance in a microwave of going pro. Not to mention actually mattering at all. More than likely, you'll still be struggling to eke out a living on the bench for a year or stuck on a farm team until you're forced to look for other work. We could bludgeon you with more data and stats, but as you dream about success, just make sure you're hedging your bets.

In other words: enjoy that "alternative" career, Shmooper. (#realtalk)